What Kind of Armies Should Sahelian Countries Have? #Sahel #Mali #Niger #burkinafaso #barkhane


What Kind of Armies Should Sahelian Countries Have? #Sahel #Mali #Niger #burkinafaso #barkhane


A discussion of the kind of armies the countries of the Sahel should have.
Books discussed here:
Goya/Touchard, “Une révolution militaire africaine,” https://amzn.to/4gFeNv9
Barlow, “Composite Warfare,” https://amzn.to/3PeHVx5

Some of my stuff on African…

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38 Comments

  1. Thanks for this. Proof that web is not just justified by cat videos and maybe Wikipedia. Impressed, frankly, by your consideration of Barlow's points of view. I thought I was the only person to have read his book. His emphasis on the "Pillar Support Group" stands, to me, in direct contrast to the common meme of 'Barlow=Executive Outcomes, Executive Outcomes=evil, QED..etc'. '

  2. On the air threat- while the ECOWAS threat to intervene militarily in Niger (and Mali promised a counter-intervention if they did) fell flat- it demonstrates that interstate war is not off the table in Africa. The use of Rwandan SAMs against Congolese CAS aircraft is a great example. COIN might be the most common threat, but for some actors SAMs make sense – maybe not S300s though. Something mobile and short/medium range

  3. I actually dont think anti aircraft capabilities are useless as countries are slowly replacing legacy aerial systems with big drones and I think such system may somewhat be useful

  4. What does low-budget air mobility look like? Like with the motorbikes and stuff, can you adapt civ helicopters? A civ helicopter is still a lot compared to people without a helicopter.

  5. Most nations who aren't the USA are in some way constrained to "good enough" armies.

    I think it's important to measure against what the regional neighbours can do, not some blue sky goal.

  6. France and the CIA failed in the Sahel disgustingly so they advice is like throwing a pile of shyt in Africa's face. With a farrrrr superior army France lost the Sahel because it had no will to win afterall they and the CIA support the same terrorists we fighting. France was just using their military as a tool over its colonies and not for warfare. The best advice you can give Africa is to let them figure it out by themselves without a big brother white supremacy interference mentality.

  7. Your comments on the limiting factor of heat are fascinating. Extreme weather conditions can cause as many casualties as enemy actions. I’ve seen men faint and nearly die due to heat exhaustion when on exercise with the military.

  8. Good video (as always), but… What about coup proofing? Losing to terrorists in the bush is annoying to the regime (and foreign patrons) but probably not immediately fatal to the regime. Losing to a coup or urban unrest is a fiasco for the regime.

  9. Excellent video as usual!
    Please consider explaining acronyms and abbreviations (even just put a textbox with the translation) as it is not always obvious for non specialists and non anglophones. I've spent a long time wondering what COIN is for example, and it distracts from the point

  10. This was cool.

    I'd like to see your take on capabilities "Sub-Saharan" (i really dislike that term)nations should have in their militaries.

  11. The big issue for these nations is, I think, budget and recruitment (and corruption at all levels). At the end of the day, as you point out, the improvement of their manpower quality in training would already be a great improvement regardless of procurement.
    Also the use of long range UAVs would come in handy at least for territory surveillance / reconnaissance.
    Thanks for the video. 🙂

  12. Thank you Michael, another excellent piece of analysis and overview here, which really highlights the uniqueness of operating in that type of environment. Can I ask if you will be doing some analysis in the future on the BENELUX nations?

  13. Fascinating. I find it amazing the Russians and Chinese are moving into Africa to fill the voids being left by the French in places like Mali to support the local militaries.

  14. Having a tank or air force would be great, but when you don't have the knowledge and parts to keep them running, what good are they? Take that money and buy a few Toyotas, mount some heavy weapons, and you have a mechanized unit in days. It's not they don't want those nice shiny things, it's that they are not the right tool.

  15. Composite Warfare finally getting the attention it deserves.
    I am a big fan of Eeben Barlow's theories on warfare which have proovenly worked in reality twice already. And three times if you count STTEPs intervention in Nigeria