EndWokenss is Lying about Black Female Judges
EndWokenss is Lying about Black Female Judges
This particular post came from Internet gadfly EndWokeness, who I have reported on before.
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1761725058043519421?s=20
I’m not sure where he is getting his statistics from, but the ABA claims that 5% of lawyers are African American, and 38% are women (from…
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This particular post came from Internet gadfly EndWokeness, who I have reported on before.
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1761725058043519421?s=20
I'm not sure where he is getting his statistics from, but the ABA claims that 5% of lawyers are African American, and 38% are women (from 2022).
https://www.americanbar.org/content/dam/aba/administrative/market_research/2022-national-lawyer-population-survey.pdf
Unfortunately, we don't have direct statistics of black women. The best we can do is .38*.05 which gives us 1.9%.
However, the ABA does have statistics for black female federal judges, which is 4.4%.
https://www.americanbar.org/content/dam/aba/administrative/news/2022/07/profile-report-2022.pdf
The New York Supreme Court isn't a "Supreme court" the way we think of it as the "highest court in the state." That is New York's "Court of Appeals."
The New York "Supreme Court" is really a mid-tier appellate court and there are four of them:
https://www.nycourts.gov/courts/appellatedivisions.shtml
The First Appellate Division of the Supreme Court covers the Bronx and NY County. The Bronx is 44% black.
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/bronxcountynewyork/PST045222
NY County is 18.7% black.
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/newyorkcountynewyork/PST045223
It makes sense that local appeals court judges might be picked from their community.
If you plug these numbers into the binomial probability formula.
https://www.varsitytutors.com/hotmath/hotmath_help/topics/binomial-probability
You get a probability of about .0006% which is more than being struck by lighting.
https://www.newsnationnow.com/weather/struck-by-lightning-odds/
But less than getting a straight flush in poker.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability
But it is certainly not "literally zero."
Are you serious? You simple proved their point..
Diversity and inclusion is racism, it shouldn’t exist.
wonderful engineering
And i might add…why does that matter? Why don't we get the best people for the job and that's it??
How is EndWokeness wrong? All youve done here is show that black women are statistically overperforming as district judges too.
This is the mathematical equivalent of splitting hairs. 😂
Stating an opinion is now "racist?"
this is extremely intellectually dishonest and you know it ryan.
0.0006% is negligible.
Stating an uncomfortable fact isn't racist.
Bias is visible.
0.0006% is basicaly 0% this is a L man
I think to really show how unlikely to have all black judges youd have to account for 1. all similar seats in NYC and 2. the chances of it happening so early in history ie this wasnt possible 100 years ago. still stupidly unlikely to happen by chance so most likely some aspects of discrimination played a part but yea technically higher than 0.0006% but noy much.
TBH I missed it too. The reason why End Wokness is being accused of Racism is he is saying it is statistically impossible for a there to be a black woman on the court ergo some form of Affirmative Action was done. Ryan was showing that when you look at the demographics it's not statistically impossible and the misrepresentation was done to push an agenda
The fact that you have posted videos like this (which point out false claims, misused information, manipulative content, and lies) against various political parties, activist groups, and politicians all across the political spectrum makes me immeasurably happy.
good deductions, and good math. Nice callout – keep them coming, and thank you.
Saying LOL This guy is sooooo wrong its not 0 its .0006 is like SOOOO not the point you thought it was
Technically it's not a zero but statistically speaking its unlikely as hell which is usually what these people mean when they say it's a zero because in reality it is close enough.
Ryan you also did the math wrong, this assumes an approximately normal distribution, and that each trial won't affect the distribution.
In real life and in an especially small community of lawyers people talk and the exchange of information and other hidden variables makes the likelihood of a Black judge being elected significantly higher.
As a counter, I'd ask you to take a look a the earth before multicellular life and I want you to figure out the probability of life creating nuclear weapons of mass destruction. That expected probability would be essentially 0, yet here we are.
Rounding to .00 it is zero
Math ❤
Is this post satire? This just makes End Wokeness look good
I mean… Racism aside… If he was rounding, he wasn't wrong.
It doesn't matter about gender or race it's all about the ideology and they all hate the Constitution
People forgetting how math works. We see straight flushes because of the number of hands we see. The composition doesnt change as often as poker, thus making this essentially impossible without nepotism
Seems a little biased on your end here when for all intents and purposes it’s 0% and you proved his point more than you hurt it. Plenty of dumber things said on the internet, weird focus.
The point stands. You haven’t disproven it
nah what how is this racist????
so what was racist about the statment? I started to like this guy but then he is just another one who loves to throw racist around, to bad.
so he's right?
ehrm a statistically significant number isnt zero so ehrm math
You're calling him racist and claiming he can't do math, right after you've basically proven him right. Is this satire? I'm really not sure, but if it is, then bravo. If it isn't, then that makes it even funnier.
Rekt
0.0006% is pretty close to 0, and is 0 if you round ro the nearest 1/100th. So EndWokeness is not wrong.
Usually your analysis is good, not here though. You should have reported the factor of standard deviations, you would have found a relatively high sigma.
It isn’t mathematically 0 it’s statistically 0. Big difference.
I don't if being off by 0.0006% is enough to call him a racist and a liar, even if he is bad at math.
TECHNICALLY he lied but he was off by 0.0006 so it really doesn’t count. Not sure where you got the racist bit from but go off Ryan