Chinese Military Corruption & Readiness – The Rocket Force, Purges & PLA Readiness

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athompson

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Chinese Military Corruption & Readiness – The Rocket Force, Purges & PLA Readiness


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Earlier this month, Bloomberg carried an article which included claims about corruption in the PRC’s Rocket Force .

Those claims have gotten plenty of attention – so today, I want to look into corruption and anti-corruption campaigns in the PRC, some of the claims from the…

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28 Comments

  1. Sponsored by Private Internet Access, Use the following link to access their promotional offer: https://www.piavpn.com/Perun

    When interpreting intelligence reports – it pays to be cautious. When interpreting second hand fragments of intelligence that make it into the press, it pays to be especially so.

    Personal view – annonymous source + odd or extreme claim + tension with other evidence and assessments = extreme scepticism about some of these specific headlines.

    One day, I want to have a detailed look at the capabilities of the modern PLA (as best as we can assess them from afar) but with the recent claims of water filled missiles, broken silos and continued turnover in senior Chinese military leaders, I thought it might be worth stopping for a week and going through some of the recent claims, how we might interpret them, and what the impact of corruption might be on China's overall military modernisation efforts.

    If there is one other thing I'll say, it's that when I use the term 'possible' – that does not mean likely. I can't disprove the claims, and they're not physically impossible – but that very much doesn't mean I'd give the specific claims we go over here (like the water in the missile thing) good odds of actually being a real, substantial phenomenon in the way described.

  2. 29:05 Well, I just had to test that and the result was: "嘿伙计,我不是来操蜘蛛的。" However, as I don't know any Chinese, I have no idea how good of a translation that is and what would be the best one.

  3. Judging from the parts of the government that people could easily feel for themselves, such as local police and customs officers, Russia is much much more corrupt than China.

  4. The description, "little round clocks of solid fuel", suspiciously matches the actual hot pot solid fuel, which sole purpose is to cook delicious food, not for rocket usage. (Solid fuel bricks for hot pot is an actual thing in China. And PLA does have tons of them in reserve, for instant hot pots.)

  5. i maybe wrong, but is mordern solid fuel in missles are simply some kind of dynamite? i thought people want to enjoy a hotpot normally don't want to kill themselves right?

  6. late comment here, but I want to thank Perun for covering these topics.
    I hope you would be able to covering topics about Taiwan in the future as well

  7. Playing devils advocate, it may actually make sense to fill the rockets with water if the silo doors are malfunctioning. Many rocket designs require the fuel tanks to be full to maintain structural stability, however rocket fuel is extremely hazardous. Replacing the fuel with water would be an understandable safety measure while repairs were being conducted on the silo. The US actually had a major accident in 1980 where a Titan missile fuel tank was punctured during routine maintenance, causing a fuel leak and eventual explosion.

  8. Occams razor says full of water is a figure of speech

    Specifically for "useless fuel that is expired" or otherwise cant be used for one reason or another

  9. Chinese officials are paid quite all right. 40k$ per year for Chinese people is not bad when average gdp just reached 10k. Most importantly, they would have free housing and healthcare provided by the state for life. By committing corruption they are risking losing all those benefits for the rest of their life. Their pensions is also very high, most of time it’s about half of their salary.

  10. If we're talking about the DF series, I read, and this was a long long time ago so I may be mistaken, that they use a kind of oil to preserve the tank's interior. It was purportedly almost as thin as water and was able to be quickly drained so fuel could replace it. Given it was oil it would still burn off and not greatly affect the overall performance, but also given it was clear I could see someone mistaking that as water.

    Preventing corrosion on liquid fueled rockets is a MASSIVE pain in the ass so I could imagine someone pre-filling those DF series with something to fight that. Logical at least and easily mistaken for something else given whoever is watching probably wouldn't know the difference at a glance. As for why they'd use a liquid you really can't paint the interior of a rocket's fuel tank, it'll muck up your fuel mixture and give you unreliable burns.

  11. Will you ever do a video about the economic side of a potential war between the us and china specifically about the us dependence on chinese manufacturing, medicines, and rare materials and chinese access to fuel for energy?