Is Africa the Next China?
Is Africa the Next China?
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If Africa could unite politically, and develop economically, then we will have a chance to show the alternative future China could have had they not implemented the one Child Policy. I wonder how big that Africa will be …
So, basically Africa needs to develop in a unified manner if it is to be the next China.
This is one of the reasons why I support a united African government.
I'm not anyway trying to deny the nuances of African countries but I'm just saying that a united Africa would lead us to make those decisions that would have affect our development on a continental scale, help us to utilise our resources for the common good and give a powerful voice to negotiate agreements on our own terms.
Unlike China, Africa is not one country.
So in your stupid logic, ALL 54 AFRICAN COUNTRIES CAN BE COMPARED TO 1 EURASIAN COUNTRY???? ARE YOU MAD???
Ayy boi; you're missing a little:
1) Portable waterways/transportaion systems. The rivers and natural ports arnt in favior of africa; roads arnt viable and
2) Political stability and conflict managment isnt implemented in most of the regions.
3) "Global south soft factors"; the relative fertility for food is way below the "bread baskets" of the river deltas; ukraine or mid west of the US. => Higher permanent need in the primary sector. Also the "formalisation/contracting" of work isnt a part of many regions; also carrier planing, mid level education.
4) Education itself and permanent brain drains into other countries. Maybe Luhansa, Johannesbourg, Rhuanda, Marroco are the only places with an social mobil part of population. You cant spand on education and dont offer any buisness environment for peak performer in STEM or buisness. They will migrate away and evaporate social spending value at home.
5) Subversive elements and ideologies to the north of the green belt. (Let's take Nigeria or Sudan as an example: There is a splitt between "militant groups" in the north and more urbanized and formally eudcated areas in the south).
6) The influence of france in economic and "HR problems in some goverments" are still common. Specially the control of the FX rated from local currencies to the Euro.
Did I miss anything?
No. Africa is not going to be the next China. A billion Africans are not going to abandon their own language and start speaking Chinese.
genetics negate all of this
I think you generalized Africa too much. However, I am glad that at the end you mentioned how different countries in Africa have different economic trajectories and outcomes.
3:24 Zebras on the outskirts of a city? That has to be the most African thing ever. By the way, what city is it?
Sounds like all of the African countries merging is the answer.
Our future is bright
Of course not – the people and cultures are fundamentally different. Do you know how hard working and innovative the Chinese are? It remains to be seen whether any African state can replicate that level of organisation or collective performance.
LOL, I’m gonna watch this but that’ll never happen with Africa.
The problem is there are so many moving parts in Africa is that it will be stupid to make a prediction if any of the future of African economy
Let's just say if everything goes right it could grow but if anything crucial goes wrong then everything becomes a dark reality
12:15 delicious.
What of Japan that has s large elder population
🤔 what if many didn't have to be dependent when they're old
India is Politically stable and has lots of engineers. What African countries have lots of engineers?
What is often kept out of these types of discussions are the effects of geography and climate on economic development.
In Africa's case, the climate and the geography are extremely hostile to economic development. We know that as temperatures rise, IQ and memory retention falls which is why it is more likely a colder nation will become economically developed then a colder one. China has a colder climate and so was more likely to develop. Additionally, a large proportion of the interior is subject to extreme humidity which means that it is much more expensive to operate a civilization since the water in the air increases the entropy of capital which means less of it can get reinvested into productive economically-boosting activities.
In the case of geography, Africa is also at an extreme disadvantage. There aren't a lot of natural harbors off of the coast of Africa which is why historically Africa hasn't been able to use the sea to participate in global trade and learn from other cultures. The rivers in Africa are also not really that navigable and the land is very steep which makes the cost of trade within the continent much more expensive then it would be anywhere else.
Given the inherent geographic and climate disadvantages of Africa, this continent is going to develop at a much slower pace than China. Any economic analysis which doesn't take these factors into consideration is flawed.
Currently, access to the ocean for trade is one of the biggest factors in a country's prosperity. For example, Rome was built around the Mediterranean and the US is a superpower, in part, because they have access to both the Pacific and Atlantic. Once we become a space fairing civilization, however, distance from the equator becomes more important than ocean access. (It's easier to launch rockets when near the equator since Earth's spin helps you achieve escape velocity.) Africa is the continent with the most land near the equator. Looking over the next few centuries, I predict that many African nations may become the next superpowers.
are 54 separate countries with countless dialects and cultures the next china? hmm… not sure
Half of it will
Why wasn't this video made by an African?
The next China is India and some individual African countries. The economics of Africa is so poliarised even exists stark contrasts in one city let alone between countries especially considering the stark difference between former French and former British colonies. British colonies have something going on for them except for Malawi….
Reddit analysts going mad
It’s not Africa. It’s India. India has a single government and better education systems. India will be the next China.
China believes that Africa is next great
power that is why China is helping Africa with infrastructure to become the next super power
I thought Africa is very populated. The combined population is still less than india. 😳😳
The Chinese civilization was developed back to thousands of years ago, while Africa rarely had anything that could be called "civilization"
Africa is not poor because it had a GDP of $8.2 trillion in PPP using ChatGPT to aggregate IMF country data. An avocado costs less than 4 US cents in rural Kenya. Quit your poverty fetish.
Hopefully we see Marxist Leninist change in Africa.
Short answer ? NO.
Long answer ? No. Whereas Chinese people are inteligent and obedient, capable of being trained and exploited , the Affricans have lower IQ , huge increase in agressivity and overall impossible to unite into a superpower. Just have a look at Asian communities and affrican communities in the west. Some are doctors some are drug dealers. Yes , not all. But plenty.
They ewill know depression and stress like the rest of us not a good thing
No. You can't compare blacks to Asians. They are not the same.
After reading the title, no.
You bring women into office your demographics go down period career and raising children don't go together
The bottom line
1. Africa’s economic indicators follow 20-year-ago China’s, which seems promising
2. But, its demographic ones are still far behind that of China, due to lack of education and high dependency rate
3. The most straightforward way to solve this problem is reinforcing the edication
4. In the end, some African countries, if not all, might succeed in becoming the next China
We have to hope
I bet in a few months we'll have "is Ukraine the next China"?
I’m from Guinea and we just had a coup a little over a year ago. The leader of the coup used the fact that the former president CHANGED the constitution in order to run for a third term. Unfortunately these are common things in Africa. There’s hope, but still feels far away
Education is important, but there are some well educated poor countries. Broad economic prosperity with sustained growth requires political stability while advancing broadly on the indices of economic freedom. Of the two the latter is more important. In the last 500 years no nation has ever become broadly economically prosperous without broadly advancing significantly in areas of economic freedom, and every nation that has done so has become significantly more prosperous.